Deformation modeling at Long Valley caldera
Andrew V. Newman
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180 degree view of Long Valley Caldera in Eastern California. Composite photo taken from atop the western caldera wall in July 1997.

With Tim Dixon and Jackie Dixon (University of Miami) and Goodluck Ofoegbu (Southwest Research Institute) I have been working on a project to better determine geometric and rheologic constraints of active volcanic processes on surface deformation. We are using mathematic and numeric modeling to include the effects of viscoelasticity on exponential characters of deformation from a varying pressure source at Long Valley caldera in east-central California.

Currently, we are writing proposals to further this study by including both more complex geometries to better explain the nature of this highly silicic, stratified magma source. By better understanding the impact of rheology and magma source geometry on surface deformation we will be able to be able to better predict volcanic eruptions. With recent improvements in GPS, and SAR interferometry technologies, this field of volcano geodesy is sure to grow and I am very pleased to have become a part of this small, but rapidly growing group.

Below are a few figures to help explain some of the work that we have so for on this project.


*click on illustration for a larger view

[Top] Map of deformation and seismicity at Long Valley caldera in eastern California (inset shows location) for two different time periods, color-coded. Geodetic sites CASA and KRAK on central resurgent dome shown as triangles. Deformation rate (arrows with 95% confidence ellipses) and seismicity scaled by magnitude (filled circles) shown for low activity period in green (October 1994 - June 1997) and high activity period in red (July 1997 - December 1998). Dashed-lines show the projected intersection point for the GPS data. Open circle between CASA and KRAK shows location and 95% confidence limits of shallow deformation source for the period 1989-1992 described by Langbein et al. (JGR 100, 1995).
[Bottom-left] west-east and [Bottom-right] south-east cross sections are displayed, to illustrate depth range of seismicity and vertical component of surface deformation. Small green arrows at base of red arrows represent GPS velocity for the earlier time period.

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Scalar length between CASA and KRAK measured by GPS minus an arbitrary constant, compared to cumulative seismic moment and cumulative number of seismic events with Mcoda >= 2.0 for the period October 1994 to June 1998.

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Scalar length between CASA and KRAK measured by two color EDM, detrended by 15 mm/yr, with exponential fits for early (increasing deformation rate) and later (decreasing deformation rate) periods.

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Observed length (two color EDM) between CASA and KRAK minus an arbitrary constant (small open circles) between late 1994 and early 1999, compared to predicted length (solid lines, L-1 and L-2) from a viscoelastic shell model calculated by a finite element model approach. Model assumes a spherical source of incremental pressure at 6 km depth and 500 m radius, surrounded by a Maxwell viscoelastic shell 1.0 km thick with viscosity 1016 Pa s, embedded in an elastic half space. Light dashed lines (P-1 and P-2) are assumed source pressure history (right hand scale). Arrow shows time of maximum seismic moment release (November 30, 1997) during this period.
[Inset] shows equivalent purely elastic half space model (i.e., no viscoelastic shell), note higher pressure increments required to match data.
    For more information on this project please read:
  • Newman, A. V., T. H. Dixon & N. Gourmelen, A Four-Dimensional Viscoelastic Model for Deformation of the Long Valley Caldera, California, between 1995 and 2000, Journ. of Volcan. and Geoth. Res., [In Press]. Download PDF version
  • Newman, A. V., T. H. Dixon, G. Ofoegbu & J. E. Dixon, Geodetic and Seismic Constraints on Recent Activity at Long Valley Caldera, California: Evidence for Viscoelastic Rheology Jour. of Volcan. and Geoth. Res., 105 3, 183-206, February 2001. Download PDF version

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