Supplemental Material for Earthquake Physics

Fall 2019

Professor: Andrew Newman

Supplemental readings:

• Physics of Earthquakes (review paper): Kanamori and Brodsky, The Physics of Earthquakes,Reports on Progress in Physics, 2004
  
• Key Formulas in Earthquake Seismology (another and somewhat different review): Ben-Zion, IASPEI Handbook: Key Formulas in Earthquake Seismology,IASPEI 2003
  

Discussion of Emergent Research

1. Earthquake Interactions (Oct.22-24)

   • Ando, R., & Imanishi, K. (2011). Possibility of M w 9.0 mainshock triggered by diffusional propagation of after-slip from M w 7.3 foreshock. Earth, Planets and Space, 63(7), 767–771. http://doi.org/10.5047/eps.2011.05.016
   • Socquet, A., Valdes, J. P., Jara, J., Cotton, F., Walpersdorf, A., Cotte, N., et al. (2017). An 8 month slow slip event triggers progressive nucleation of the 2014 Chile megathrust. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(9), 4046–4053. http://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073023
   • Ellsworth, W. L., & Bulut, F. (2018). Nucleation of the 1999 Izmit earthquake by a triggered cascade of foreshocks. Nature Publishing Group, 1–6. http://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0145-1

     Supplemental:

   • Freed, A. M. (2005) Earthquake triggering by static, dynamic, and postseismic stress transfer, An. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci., 33, 335-367.

2. Earthquake Boundaries (Oct.29-31)

   • Furlong, K. P., Lay, T., & Ammon, C. J. (2009). A Great Earthquake Rupture Across a Rapidly Evolving Three-Plate Boundary. Science, 324(5924), 226–229. http://doi.org/10.1126/science.1167476
   • Bletery, Q., Thomas, A. M., Rempel, A. W., Karlstrom, L., Sladen, A., & De Barros, L. (2016). Mega-earthquakes rupture flat megathrusts. Science, 354(6315), 1027–1031. http://doi.org/10.1126/science.aag0482
   • Hubbard, J., Almeida, R., Foster, A., Sapkota, S. N., Bürgi, P., & Tapponnier, P. (2016). Structural segmentation controlled the 2015 M w7.8 Gorkha earthquake rupture in Nepal. Geology, 44(8), 639–642. http://doi.org/10.1130/G38077.1

3. Earthquake Speed Limits (Nov.5-7)

   • Lotto, G. C., Dunham, E. M., Jeppson, T. N., & Tobin, H. J. (2017). The effect of compliant prisms on subduction zone earthquakes and tsunamis. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 458, 213–222. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2016.10.050
   • Ma, S., & Nie, S. (2019). Dynamic Wedge Failure and Along‐Arc Variations of Tsunamigenesis in the Japan Trench Margin. Geophysical Research Letters, 46(15), 8782–8790. http://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083148
   • Bürgmann, R. (2018). The geophysics, geology and mechanics of slow fault slip. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 495, 112–134. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2018.04.062

     Supplemental:

   • Xu, S., Fukuyama, E., Sagy, A., & Doan, M.-L. (2018). Physics of Earthquake Rupture Propagation. Tectonophysics, 733, 1–3. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2018.04.013
   • Ma, S., & Hirakawa, E. T. (2013). Dynamic wedge failure reveals anomalous energy radiation of shallow subduction earthquakes. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 375(C), 113–122. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2013.05.016

4. Earthquake Determinism (Do they know how big they'll grow?) (Nov.12-Nov.14)

   • Melgar, D., & Hayes, G. P. (2019). Characterizing large earthquakes before rupture is complete. Science Advances, 5(5). http://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aav2032
   • Trugman, D. T., Page, M. T., Minson, S. E., & Cochran, E. S. (2019). Peak Ground Displacement Saturates Exactly When Expected: Implications for Earthquake Early Warning. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 124(5), 4642–4653. http://doi.org/10.1029/2018JB017093
   • Yang, H., Yao, S., He, B., Newman, A. V., & Weng, H. (2019). Deriving Rupture Scenarios from Interseismic Locking Distributions Along the Subduction Megathrust. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 107(12), 2324–17. http://doi.org/10.1029/2019JB017541

     Supplemental:

   • Yang, H., Yao, S., He, B., & Newman, A. V. (2019). Earthquake rupture dependence on hypocentral location along the Nicoya Peninsula subduction megathrust. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 520, 10–17. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2019.05.030

5. Earthquake prediction (Nov.19-21)

   • Joffe, H., Rossetto, T., Bradley, C., & O'Connor, C. (2017). Stigma in science: the case of earthquake prediction. Disasters, 42(1), 81–100. http://doi.org/10.1111/disa.12237
   • Yip, C. F., Ng, W. L., & Yau, C. Y. (2017). A hidden Markov model for earthquake prediction. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 32(5), 1415–1434. http://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-017-1457-1
   • Marzocchi, W., & Zechar, J. D. (2011). Earthquake Forecasting and Earthquake Prediction: Different Approaches for Obtaining the Best Model. Seismological Research Letters, 82(3), 442–448. http://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.82.3.442

     Supplemental:

   • Geller, R. J., Jackson, D. D., Kagan, Y. Y., & Mulargia, F. (1997). Earthquakes Cannot Be Predicted. Science, 275(5306), 1616–1617. http://doi.org/10.2307/2893715?refreqid=search-gateway:1971b6901f2a0dffdb769f7fe3022728
   • Wyss, M., Aceves, R. L., Park, S. K., Geller, R. J., Jackson, D. D., Kagan, Y. Y., & Mulargia, F. (1997). Cannot Earthquakes Be Predicted? Science, 278(5337), 487–. http://doi.org/10.1126/science.278.5337.487